Friday, June 24, 2011

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  • jasmin45
    09-08 02:17 PM
    Based on my research on net and discussion with economic savy friends and my own limited knowledge in economics, by any calculation, real-estate in India is going to be in deep trouble. It will be a uncalculated gamble to invest in realty at current prices in India just because the commitment is large and long term with 0 visibility

    Even in NRI perspective, set aside the low GDP of india and assume that it will grow beyond wildest dreams in next 20 years (atleast I hope they will control the inflation), the prices are still beyond the Purchasing Power Parity between nations for example US and India. US PPP is around $41500 and stand at 8th position among world countries. Now all 7 countries above US are so called non attractive for NRI's. Where does india stand? 140th position with a Purchasing Power Parity of $3300. Only poor south african, south asian countries are below India in the list.

    http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/eco_gdp_pur_pow_par_percap-purchasing-power-parity-per-capita

    Assume that at some point in future you will need to realize the investment say 5 years from now or even 10 years. Who will buy it from you? only 2% of indian families potentially can earn $200,000 in life time. Given this, I think you can only hope that another NRI would earn and save enough at that time to buy from you paying more that what you have invested + (alternate investment value).

    There are estimated 182000 including the ones waiting for approvals real estate flats and complexes are being built all across india's major cities expanding into suburbs. As someone said, NRI's invest in majority of the projects even before 10% of development is completed. These projects will be completed in next 5 to 7 years. Beyond that new projects that may come up in future which will potentially increase the supply combined with poor purchasing power of local folks and corruption is a real recipe for disaster.

    I am sure majority of NRI's did not tak a deep look at economic and political scenarios before making decision on buying realty in India. I was shocked to hear one builder with such convincing tone, saying buy it now or you will loose the chance. After a week, he increased the price by 2% and told us that there is a huge demand and he already sold 20 units in 5 days since we talked to him. Hard to believe. I later heard that he is still selling units to NRI's :) and tells them same story.

    That triggered me to do some research and study the situation in that country and when I try to connect the dots.. jeez its scary. It seems they do not consider capacity of drainage, sewer and waste disposal in the area to support increased usage in their project building these flats which will house 100's of new families. Public water supply pipes are also not expanded around the development area to cater increased demand and consumption. Builders just connect water pipes to the nearest public water supply point. God knows when, that public water supply pipes were layed and to support how much consumption? Water preasure in these buildings are 0 and you just see drops :) Solution to this, Builder says its a common norm that all occupants will buy the water and share the cost.

    I am not throwing the my small savings to gamble in India. If you get a good deal, go for it or just wait for a correction. Now the question is what is a good deal in given circumstances? If the rotation slow down, investment locks up, poor local PPP with make credit expensive and preasure will build on borrowers to liquidate property which will lead to fall in prices. We can even expect a credit crisis in India in next couple of years.

    Do not even compare effect of credit crisis in US to if at all it is going to happen in India. US is still the strongest economy and India is not. (I am not talking about growth rate here but the depth)

    I agree! I would't invest in India either. I believe awareness about these facts will save atleast few folks from being duped of hard earned money.




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  • Lisap
    10-03 04:20 PM
    Last year they "wasted" about 10K visa numbers. It is absolutely up to them. However congress has authorized 140k a year and there are huge backlogs for AOS and CP. So when you put that together, leaving about 10K unapproved is clearly not enforcing congressional mandates. The ombudsman blasted them for this in his report, then we had the VB fiasco. None of this sounds like great management of the benefits. There clearly is room for improvement.
    We (us and our employers) as the recipients of the benefits are complaining about this, and it is perfectly legitimate.
    If any visa numbers are left unused, I definitely think we ought to take up this issue with congressional leaders like Zoe Lofgren. Even just a visa recapture legislation alone would help us tremendously until 2009(about the earliest they might get back to this issue more fully).




    Please forgive me for asking this..... but can someone please explain to me what you mean by wasted visa numbers? How is it even possible with all the backlogs and the caps on categories for uscis not to be able to use all of the visa numbers? I would love for someone to explain this to me! Thank you in advance.




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  • ganguteli
    03-13 02:49 PM
    While we work in different Please find addresses at 15
    Telephone (202) 225-3072

    Stop Spamming the forum. I will write the letter only if core asks me. Its a waste of postage money and nobody reads email in such offices from junk senders.




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  • Bodran
    06-01 01:11 PM
    Hi All,
    I want to know if my 19 year old son can be affected by aging out.
    I have just received ALC certification and will now file I140 and I485 concurrently as my priority date NOV 22 2004 EB3 Rest of World will be current in June.
    Can someone who understands the aging out rules tell me if my son may have a problem?
    Thanks in advance...



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  • Milind123
    09-13 08:16 PM
    I made my first time $100 contribution

    Order Details - Sep 13, 2007 8:26 PM EDT
    Google Order #573069996350097

    Thank you IV for all your efforts. Keep up the good work.

    Thanks
    Subbbaiah

    stalemate: A situation in which further action is blocked.

    Subbbaiah, thank you so much for breaking the stalemate.

    Need one final one for tonight.




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  • gcisadawg
    03-04 12:16 PM
    Doesnt seem like anything is cooking at TSC! I-140 and I-485 still shows

    "On Oct 1st 2007 we received....blah blah blah...."

    -GCisaDawg



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  • minimalist
    08-13 04:06 PM
    This is truly sad. And I agree with WillWin that we need to do something. IV core has time and again stressed that they will not do anything for a certain EB group. I understand their stance. But every other EB group is getting help from somewhere. For EB3-I, forget getting help, we are actually losing every day forward.

    I have lost hopes now, after reading this today. This may as well be my final post to IV. I will keep my recurring payment to IV going on. Hopefully it will help my EB2 friends get their GC and help those people (refer to the Indian friends voting for lawsuit against EB3 to EB2 porting) who want to further turn the screws on EB3-I. How much can you beat a man (or a group) that is already battered?

    Best of luck to you all.

    EB3 can only be helped when every one else is done.The way the preference categories are setup is that and the numerous cases from 2001 amnesty flooded the EB3 queue causing the retrogression. I don't suppose there can be any thing done to help EB3 specifically. We are at the bottom of the pile. If we have to be helped to get up, every one on top needs to be helped first.
    Unless the visa recapture happens, there is no hope. Folks with 2001/2002 PD , keep your spirits up. You are almost there.
    All others, if you can try EB2 porting, that's the way to go.

    ---
    EB3-I , May 2006
    Contributed 100$




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  • jasmin45
    09-08 02:17 PM
    Based on my research on net and discussion with economic savy friends and my own limited knowledge in economics, by any calculation, real-estate in India is going to be in deep trouble. It will be a uncalculated gamble to invest in realty at current prices in India just because the commitment is large and long term with 0 visibility

    Even in NRI perspective, set aside the low GDP of india and assume that it will grow beyond wildest dreams in next 20 years (atleast I hope they will control the inflation), the prices are still beyond the Purchasing Power Parity between nations for example US and India. US PPP is around $41500 and stand at 8th position among world countries. Now all 7 countries above US are so called non attractive for NRI's. Where does india stand? 140th position with a Purchasing Power Parity of $3300. Only poor south african, south asian countries are below India in the list.

    http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/eco_gdp_pur_pow_par_percap-purchasing-power-parity-per-capita

    Assume that at some point in future you will need to realize the investment say 5 years from now or even 10 years. Who will buy it from you? only 2% of indian families potentially can earn $200,000 in life time. Given this, I think you can only hope that another NRI would earn and save enough at that time to buy from you paying more that what you have invested + (alternate investment value).

    There are estimated 182000 including the ones waiting for approvals real estate flats and complexes are being built all across india's major cities expanding into suburbs. As someone said, NRI's invest in majority of the projects even before 10% of development is completed. These projects will be completed in next 5 to 7 years. Beyond that new projects that may come up in future which will potentially increase the supply combined with poor purchasing power of local folks and corruption is a real recipe for disaster.

    I am sure majority of NRI's did not tak a deep look at economic and political scenarios before making decision on buying realty in India. I was shocked to hear one builder with such convincing tone, saying buy it now or you will loose the chance. After a week, he increased the price by 2% and told us that there is a huge demand and he already sold 20 units in 5 days since we talked to him. Hard to believe. I later heard that he is still selling units to NRI's :) and tells them same story.

    That triggered me to do some research and study the situation in that country and when I try to connect the dots.. jeez its scary. It seems they do not consider capacity of drainage, sewer and waste disposal in the area to support increased usage in their project building these flats which will house 100's of new families. Public water supply pipes are also not expanded around the development area to cater increased demand and consumption. Builders just connect water pipes to the nearest public water supply point. God knows when, that public water supply pipes were layed and to support how much consumption? Water preasure in these buildings are 0 and you just see drops :) Solution to this, Builder says its a common norm that all occupants will buy the water and share the cost.

    I am not throwing the my small savings to gamble in India. If you get a good deal, go for it or just wait for a correction. Now the question is what is a good deal in given circumstances? If the rotation slow down, investment locks up, poor local PPP with make credit expensive and preasure will build on borrowers to liquidate property which will lead to fall in prices. We can even expect a credit crisis in India in next couple of years.

    Do not even compare effect of credit crisis in US to if at all it is going to happen in India. US is still the strongest economy and India is not. (I am not talking about growth rate here but the depth)

    I agree! I would't invest in India either. I believe awareness about these facts will save atleast few folks from being duped of hard earned money.



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  • ajju
    08-13 09:01 PM
    What they are calling HEAVY DEMAND from EB-3 when it has been unavailable for the last two months and before that it was stuck in 2001. There are a whole lot of visas going to EB-2 people who filed in 2006 just two years back . If a person who filed in 2001 can't get his GC

    I think they are talking about EB3 Mexico... Doesn't make any sense for EB3-India as it has already been unavailable.. so what does heavy load signifies... I am positive EB3-I will open up... may be more retrogressed than last availability.. but it will be available on Oct 1...




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  • lonedesi
    08-13 02:12 PM
    lonedesi,
    Any word this ?


    You should be fine. Everything we are doing is legal. We are not doing anything illegal by requesting Ombudsman's office to look into this processing delays.



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  • gc_mania_03
    07-07 11:32 PM
    The NYT Editorial is on reddit. Please go vote on it...

    Search for immigration malpractice.




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  • eeezzz
    07-11 12:24 PM
    07 case is different. we can't infer much from that. I hope DOS has some insight into the no of pending cases when the move dates like this. I am sure there will be language in the actual bulletin that saves them from flak when the move dates back. The primary aim is to utilize the visa nos. But with all the information available to them the movement should be proportional to the nos available from spillover and etc.,
    I don't see what is really different. I am not talking about July 2007. I am talking about May or June bulletin 2007. Do you mean the bulletin on May or June 2007 is to utilize the visa so the dates are not the "real" date? Then how do you know Aug. 2008 move is not for the same purpose? Especially if this movement is caused by spillover.



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  • paskal
    07-20 02:27 PM
    this is not over
    this might just be an opening salvo.
    these things usually get negotiated behind the scenes.
    things of note in this event:

    1. we garnered 55 votes in support, in any up and down vote we win.
    2. Durbin was the man again...that derailed us.




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  • sunny1000
    04-30 04:18 PM
    Yahi hai Umrika ke USCIS ke officer ka Tashan!

    and in English that means what?



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  • ngodisha
    09-09 11:41 AM
    Paypal contribution of $300. I cannot make it to the rally because of prior commitments. Thanks to all who are going to be at the rally in person.

    I feel good after making the contribution. Hopefully, several others will join this contribution drive and experience this good feeling first hand.

    Good luck to all.




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  • sanprabhu
    07-23 11:59 AM
    Along with thank yous to Chertoff, Lofgren and Gonzalez, I sent an additional thank you to Sen Cornyn. I urge all of you to do the same too.

    His Address is:

    517 Hart Senate Office Bldg.
    Washington, DC 20510



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  • ind_game
    05-15 09:50 PM
    Hi! I have some questions:

    1. Do you have a lawyer when you filed the first MTR or did you do it by yourself?

    2. Did you submit a copy of the I-140 approval and the AC21 memo during MTR?

    Thanks.

    1. Yes, I have been having an attorney all the way thru the two MTRs

    2. Yes, I-140 approval copy was present in my first MTR. My first MTR did not have AC 21 memo. AC21 memo (2003 Yates Memo) was present in my second MTR when we filed it. Of course, I-140 approval copy was there in the second MTR.




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  • bestofall
    07-15 11:39 PM
    Gentle Bump , to see the total 2000 $




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  • Aah_GC
    06-10 10:09 AM
    My suggestion - Do your best to support IV - contribute and make those calls. Rest: Leave it to the man above - and move on with your priorities.




    ItIsNotFunny
    09-17 05:27 AM
    I have done some ground work and am planning to start a company this week - my wife as owner. I have couple of other friends who have filed 485 in June.

    My goal for first couple of years is not to make profit but to increase turnover so it would be easier for me to present the company to big corporations and register as preferred vendor. I am planning to pay 96% of the rate to the employee. This way employee will get most of his / her rate without getting into opening their own corporation. At present I am working with attorney to finalize agreement with employee for this.




    Libra
    09-29 12:04 PM
    only option is they can hire some people to process application on temp basis.

    and the last recapture was a bill that was passed in congress.
    efforts are on for a recapture. but the valid question raised is: how does a recapture help when USCIS can't even process 140,000 a year?



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